MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718495c18b8e3ba909476fbf3d5ee805a527336c7446c2ff58ae82470032dd2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 1c | 2,676$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed NC Dinos | 68c | 1,508$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed NC Dinos | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.14 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Lotte Giants | 19c | 900$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 816.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.32 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 798.85$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 529.29$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 520$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lotte Giants | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed NC Dinos | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 470.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 350.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed NC Dinos | 49c | 341.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.09 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed NC Dinos | 64c | 313.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 254.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 251.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed NC Dinos | 52c | 210.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 47c | 208.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 19c | 201$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 187.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 173.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 12c | 171.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 158$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NC Dinos | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed NC Dinos | 49c | 146.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NC Dinos | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 111.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed NC Dinos | 47c | 102.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed NC Dinos | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 101.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 78c | 64.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 59c | 63.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 50.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 47c | 47.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 76c | 42.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…8255backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 38.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked NC Dinos | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…7d78backed NC Dinos | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.