MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d92b8853f78dec6b78d1d7de6d8959c61847643cfbb747764adfea04598ce31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 5,981$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.78 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NC Dinos | 51c | 4,793$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.73 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 56c | 1,051$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…b6ddbacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 18c | 465.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 20c | 436.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NC Dinos | 53c | 423.56$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.34 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 53c | 324.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 311.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed NC Dinos | 54c | 249.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 246.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 52c | 243.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 202.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed NC Dinos | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 168$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 68c | 153.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed NC Dinos | 53c | 132.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 23c | 120.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 59c | 110.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 100.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 94.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed NC Dinos | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NC Dinos | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed NC Dinos | 54c | 80.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 24c | 78.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NC Dinos | 69c | 75.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 26c | 72.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NC Dinos | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 52c | 67.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 71c | 63.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked NC Dinos | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked NC Dinos | 52c | 57.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 50.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 50.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 50.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed NC Dinos | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed NC Dinos | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 43.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 52c | 39.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 38.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 37.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed NC Dinos | 52c | 36.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NC Dinos | 53c | 25.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf017…9f12backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 57c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed NC Dinos | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked NC Dinos | 54c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked NC Dinos | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.