MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02b9f1d01d53928cde42b443e32c8f7806de2680d184eba8a26d136f4c56d7a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 70c | 561.14$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 518.46$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked SSG Landers | 49c | 487.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.96 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked SSG Landers | 44c | 444.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 390$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed SSG Landers | 42c | 287.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Doosan Bears | 13c | 244$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 240.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 207.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 205.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 69c | 203.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 180.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed SSG Landers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked SSG Landers | 44c | 160.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed SSG Landers | 44c | 149.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 25c | 140.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 136.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed SSG Landers | 61c | 112.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed SSG Landers | 46c | 108.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed SSG Landers | 72c | 85.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 77.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed SSG Landers | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 56.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 53.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 45.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 37.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked SSG Landers | 46c | 36.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…dd85backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 35.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked SSG Landers | 61c | 34.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 26.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.