MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a06e520120d63a8d2149e802d577d101b96643869bad507c87dcedd51868c8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 1,116$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.15 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed KT Wiz | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 968.69$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 66c | 719.39$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 56c | 707.11$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.13 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 547.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 539.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 59c | 401.15$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 366.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 330.33$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 244.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 223.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed KT Wiz | 59c | 220.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed KT Wiz | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed KT Wiz | 60c | 165.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 58c | 160.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 156.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 155.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked KT Wiz | 63c | 141.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 129$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed KT Wiz | 59c | 123.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 116.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 113.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed KT Wiz | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…673fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 103.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed KT Wiz | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 96.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 95.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 87.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed KT Wiz | 59c | 69.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed KT Wiz | 59c | 69.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 59.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 60c | 57.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed KT Wiz | 54c | 52.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed KT Wiz | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…47eebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 46.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked KT Wiz | 67c | 46.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed KT Wiz | 58c | 44.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 35.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 55c | 33.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 31.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed KT Wiz | 55c | 27.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed KT Wiz | 60c | 26.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 26.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…b27abacked KT Wiz | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed KT Wiz | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…b856backed KT Wiz | 61c | 19.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…df50backed KT Wiz | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.