MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b29df87b763e3eea6200a8d1dda170653f0b4cdfabe1be44acb833aafd1169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 34,483$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 27,397$11,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,805.06 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 17,416$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,101.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 9,410$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…00e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 9,231$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 8,300$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.12 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 6,661$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 6,379$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 4,860$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 4,692$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,456$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.96 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 4,364$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 3,684$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.67 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 3,508$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.55 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,238$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.81 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,108$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.7 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,977$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 2,365$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,315$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.94 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,130$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.4 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 1,789$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.63 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 1,760$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,550$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.73 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,481$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.87 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,193$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,042$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.22 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,015$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 995$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 975.99$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.11 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 974.97$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 955.19$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.46 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 941.35$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 842$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 820.73$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 679.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 657.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 650.01$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.01 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 580$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 553$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.74 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 544.5$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.48 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 518.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 509.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 500$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.01 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 488.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 436.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 421.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 419.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 390$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 387$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 362.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 341.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 275.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 261.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 256.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 252$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 238.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 234.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 218$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 210$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 208.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 196.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 194.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 186.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 184.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 180.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…7afbbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 166.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 153.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 147.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…a06bbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 144.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 140.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 138.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 136.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.