MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9855c70e1756d6fe093a71af0b66be68607a3b9dfdab565a300bc8ee38afc42e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Texas Rangers, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 4,000$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.04 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,350$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 849.53$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 499.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 422.93$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 380.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 287.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 216$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 112.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 108.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 105.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 105.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 101.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 51.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 50.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 49.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 128 | 64.1%82 W · 46 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 30.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.