MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2022243da997743109890efa2257c4da326e2cfa579ee618710cd27a663aa26b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Samsung Lions, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 2,149$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.78 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 11c | 945.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 852.67$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.07 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 636.06$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.81 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 491.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 416.19$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 280.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 263.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 235.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 223$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 214.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 201.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 157.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 41c | 143.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 124.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Samsung Lions | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 101.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 72c | 100.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Samsung Lions | 42c | 91.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 86.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 86.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Kia Tigers | 31c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 67.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…89a4backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 60.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 59.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 57.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 53.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 52.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 50.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 43.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Samsung Lions | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 39.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 33.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 31.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 29.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Samsung Lions | 37c | 27.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 21.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.