Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bcce1e9c1224a70fc20310ce7fd4702454a5faba7a2e648e8c812fab48a3d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Envyof MIBR, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR | 64c | 15,000$9,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,528.83 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Envy | 37c | 14,077$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,934.36 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked MIBR | 59c | 5,244$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Envy | 41c | 4,577$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.47 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed MIBR | 3c | 1,855$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Team Envy | 36c | 1,660$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.8 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Team Envy | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed MIBR | 61c | 359.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed MIBR | 63c | 295.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed MIBR | 21c | 261.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed MIBR | 64c | 257.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Envy | 69c | 245.13$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed MIBR | 63c | 239.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Team Envy | 39c | 220.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Envy | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Envy | 36c | 190.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed MIBR | 58c | 166.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked MIBR | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Team Envy | 37c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Envy | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Team Envy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7c49backed Team Envy | 41c | 77.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Team Envy | 37c | 63.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Team Envy | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…71a7backed MIBR | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked MIBR | 59c | 40.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Envy | 41c | 40.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed MIBR | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MIBR | 59c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Team Envy | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked MIBR | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked MIBR | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93be…af87backed MIBR | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Team Envy | 79c | 26.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Team Envy | 71c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerTeam Envy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.