MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e2f27fab1d199e1c1b6bb9064fb74af2a7d1ea46f5277c568d062353879ed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 30,612$14,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,081.63 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 18,298$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 13,656$7,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.89 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 9,705$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 9,562$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 9,432$5,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.66 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 8,399$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.95 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 7,332$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.47 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 6,632$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 6,033$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 5,682$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.9 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 5,118$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 4,345$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.89 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 3,846$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 3,288$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.43 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 3,223$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 15c | 3,141$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,685$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.06 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 2,319$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 2,184$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,840$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 1,513$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,455$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.47 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,454$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 1,279$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 1,112$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,093$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.71 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 847.59$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 826.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 823.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 788.02$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.49 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 787.27$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.27 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…990fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 767.33$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Minnesota Twins | 18c | 736.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 727.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 700.11$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 699.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Minnesota Twins | 18c | 524.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 523.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 459.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 445.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 436.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 409.21$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 400.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 385.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 380.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 375.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 368.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 365$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 353.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 337.59$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 334$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 320.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 314$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 288.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 281.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 281.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 256.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Miami Marlins | 79c | 243.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Minnesota Twins | 21c | 237.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 226.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 224.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 217.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 206.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 31c | 197.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 195.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 188.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 187.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 187.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 185.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4e98backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 179.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 175.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 164.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 164.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 152.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 141.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Miami Marlins | 72c | 133.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 14.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 16.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-5.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.