Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4443442540d4c1be3f3ffc97e86671b47d716e987ad977a56fdf4bf34e8522c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,588 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.95 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 5,283$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 39c | 4,622$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.09 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 4,556$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.07 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 3,848$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.96 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 37c | 3,608$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.25 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 47c | 1,131$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…016dbacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 37c | 1,060$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.77 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 40c | 875.06$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 37c | 725$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.75 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 61c | 590.16$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 62c | 549.91$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 399.16$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 349.66$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 8c | 325$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 312.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 63c | 305.41$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 251.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 62c | 250.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 40c | 250.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 249.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 61c | 211.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…b14dbacked Under | 61c | 192.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…dcebbacked Over | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 30c | 185.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 184.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…cebabacked Over | 40c | 171.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…a8b9backed Over | 40c | 169.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 47c | 159.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…4537backed Under | 61c | 148.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 120.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 32c | 119.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 105.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 11c | 96.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 62c | 85.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Under | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 60c | 81.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 80.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 78c | 64.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 61.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 40c | 58.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Under | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked Under | 58c | 52.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 72c | 50.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 40c | 50.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 39c | 48.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…4c2ebacked Under | 61c | 45.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 39c | 45.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 52c | 41.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Over | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 37.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Over | 38c | 32.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…e8abbacked Under | 61c | 32.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Under | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Over | 38c | 31.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…cb43backed Over | 40c | 31.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Under | 62c | 30.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…bf97backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f07…8626backed Over | 68c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…13e8backed Over | 40c | 28.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…793cbacked Over | 40c | 27.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 61c | 27.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…6a64backed Over | 40c | 27.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.