Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45312e36202cc0df951ad73cfd530f697e65cf6bdbd28d66432d4c99de497d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,380 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 49c | 11,918$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.89 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 4,744$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 43c | 4,610$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 4,432$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.52 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 52c | 3,623$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.01 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 2,469$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.45 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 51c | 857.29$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed No | 55c | 715.07$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 46c | 695.07$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 45c | 694.31$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 674$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 49c | 446.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.11 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 363.08$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 49c | 328.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…4342backed Yes | 50c | 302$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 41c | 291.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 53c | 247.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 208.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 52c | 204.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 50c | 149.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 48c | 105.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 49c | 90.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 51c | 75.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 57c | 73.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 54c | 64.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 62.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 50c | 59.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 50c | 54.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 50c | 54.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 49c | 51.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 58c | 48.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 48.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…9a10backed Yes | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed No | 51c | 45.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 45.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 64c | 35.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 53c | 27.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed No | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 51c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46b…b195backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…e3fdbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.