Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273cb265ce9beab7e96eb21f492eac73813e9da1862db2698ac2b3d1dcdab00b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,822 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 4,349$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.2 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 63c | 4,184$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.17 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 2,133$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.14 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 1,998$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.84 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 67c | 1,697$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Over | 68c | 1,474$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 33c | 1,300$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.92 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 67c | 1,195$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 1,002$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 64c | 780$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 67c | 650$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 64c | 567.63$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 58c | 413.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…a6b5backed Under | 36c | 378.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 65c | 307.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 67c | 297$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…f66abacked Under | 36c | 137$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…b6acbacked Over | 65c | 132.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…78abbacked Under | 36c | 128$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7a08backed Over | 65c | 125.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 33c | 124.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…b960backed Over | 65c | 120.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…9b20backed Under | 36c | 117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…ca51backed Under | 36c | 117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2574…c8a5backed Under | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 68c | 103.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 101.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 36c | 94.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b40…8be4backed Over | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 59.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbb…75b0backed Over | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 34c | 52.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 79c | 48.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Under | 21c | 48.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…181abacked Over | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…1e8abacked Over | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdece…897cbacked Over | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 34c | 43.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 79c | 43.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cd…dcdebacked Over | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…cc7cbacked Over | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afc…b74dbacked Under | 39c | 39.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 65c | 39.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…61eebacked Over | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 63c | 33.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…f10dbacked Over | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 65c | 31.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 77c | 30.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…23c6backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…88c1backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…2e67backed Over | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 67c | 28.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 71cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…d8bebacked Over | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…4ceabacked Over | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…d95cbacked Over | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 67c | 22.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…4dfcbacked Over | 63c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…3a39backed Over | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.