TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a6c…13e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41%+$8.21
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$5.67
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$13.6
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$30.13
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$8.71
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.74
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$11.55
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+59%+$9.18
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$12.01
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.84
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.33
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.52
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.15
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$37.31
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$32.07
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$7.12
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.03
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.36
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.8%+$20.67
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.5%+$7.22
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.69
Utah vs. Capitalsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.17
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.03
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+156.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+413%+$115.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$24.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.