TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks52c22,676$11,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,941.4950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Giants48c21,577$10,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,356.8627948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Diamondbacks54c10,000$5,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,608.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Diamondbacks66c6,103$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.695461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants46c5,969$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.791,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants50c5,087$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.771,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Diamondbacks50c4,878$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43911746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants31c4,431$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.942,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants39c3,362$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.081,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Giants48c2,908$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.161,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants32c2,107$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Giants39c1,893$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.3731248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants38c1,870$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.829,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Diamondbacks51c1,636$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.169245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants13c1,546$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Giants47c1,487$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69938949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants49c1,440$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.622,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Giants49c1,245$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.16645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…4d99backed Diamondbacks52c1,002$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.22958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Giants48c988$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.242955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Diamondbacks53c860$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.23748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Giants48c749.78$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.8968656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Giants21c690$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5050…9a6fbacked Giants47c550$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Diamondbacks53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.720448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks67c453.85$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.892,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Diamondbacks54c422$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124776.6%36 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Diamondbacks79c403.43$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.519157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Giants51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9961346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Diamondbacks54c380$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2391749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6e…5a09backed Giants39c331.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Giants48c313.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.383141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…5109backed Giants47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants36c266.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.361,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Giants54c263.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.233056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Giants47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff49…69f5backed Giants48c220.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks49c204.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.491,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…b560backed Giants32c201.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.619543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Giants48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9621740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc8…8f5dbacked Giants14c170.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Giants52c140.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1780955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Giants51c137.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.386852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…137fbacked Diamondbacks52c133.31$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7651955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Giants47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Giants47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3516347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Giants47c104$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Giants44c102.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0143250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Diamondbacks75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Giants25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d5…03edbacked Giants49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Giants47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.993234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef5…6014backed Giants40c92.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49b5…942abacked Giants48c83.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diamondbacks71c81.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5463942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a22…84b8backed Diamondbacks50c80.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…ca8fbacked Giants47c76.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Diamondbacks53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4749348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Giants36c70.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Diamondbacks53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.044856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks53c55.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.252,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Giants37c54.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1a6c…13e8backed Diamondbacks53c52.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Giants48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2446753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d2b…f9fcbacked Giants48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8240…7ae0backed Diamondbacks70c48.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1794455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Diamondbacks73c46.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59db…adf4backed Giants52c45.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524a…346fbacked Diamondbacks49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bae…2e92backed Diamondbacks50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb156…bad8backed Giants48c39.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0396…b3babacked Diamondbacks53c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed Giants34c37.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.889148.4%44 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…cad9backed Giants48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c0…abdfbacked Giants48c31.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Diamondbacks63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7534264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…a91ebacked Giants48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e4…7632backed Diamondbacks50c31.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1013…d0cabacked Diamondbacks50c29.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.651872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedd3…653bbacked Diamondbacks53c27.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2be…f489backed Giants51c27.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.131625%4 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9a6d…5c60backed Diamondbacks50c27.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.711735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4871…110bbacked Giants51c27.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf759…e295backed Diamondbacks50c26.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eff…4ba2backed Diamondbacks53c26.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…d6a8backed Giants51c25.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb770…3a5abacked Giants51c24.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5245backed Giants48c24.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7c…163abacked Diamondbacks53c23.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.141353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7150…9fecbacked Diamondbacks53c23.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4081…8acbbacked Diamondbacks52c21.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8926…4fe0backed Diamondbacks53c20.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.