TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,967 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c24,346$11,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,285.724,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over73c11,990$8,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,752.642161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over26c5,200$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3383438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Under67c3,716$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.26850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over22c3,452$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.0511839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1303441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over75c2,772$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.1819258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over25c999.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8811120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under56c889.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.512540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+84%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over74c611.2$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over51c597.22$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.631745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under66c578.22$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over33c493$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.139640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over70c450$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31513070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over5c433.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4545841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over47c425.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over34c420$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.83447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c311.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2130842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over32c298.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.548732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under67c288$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over53c283$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.392934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under65c245.79$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1950149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over47c212.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over34c210$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.44744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c205.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.861,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over68c205.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.772846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over34c200.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over31c192.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.713230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under67c186.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.573363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under65c184.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over36c180$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.156752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.222638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c148.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c144.49$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under66c136.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked Over35c135.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3950%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over67c132.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under43c131.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.858155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over32c113.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.472,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over30c108.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.394452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over29c107.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over34c105$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.73354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over34c105$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.74062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7211855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.098958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8af5…cd81backed Over71c78.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.536349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x605e…9b08backed Over73c70$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over35c69.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.188550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…db9fbacked Under76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over40c64.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over31c64.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.035149%25 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over34c63.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Under31c61.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2914850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under38c61.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over36c61.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.812040%8 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6111741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19cf…5636backed Over35c55.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over59c54.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6211354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under54c51.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.074045%18 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027b…5587backed Over47c49.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under64c47.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1620159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over34c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.986940.6%28 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under52c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4713457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over45c45.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c44.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7359655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under38c44.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1112152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa582…67ffbacked Over49c41.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Under74c40.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.732458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under27c40.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under66c38.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0911855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over61c37.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0510843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over30c36.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8912042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Under76c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under32c34.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.