La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde504e09e9af1689c0c7a20e3b118cb20f99e67fa2d412758cd3ad5d181caa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Getafe CFof Getafe CF, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Getafe CF | 13c | 9,160$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,997.44 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Getafe CF | 17c | 2,184$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.43 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Getafe CF | 59c | 856$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.26 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Getafe CF | 12c | 389.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.1 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Getafe CF | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 253.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Getafe CF | 62c | 206.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Getafe CF | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…98d5backed Getafe CF | 76c | 164.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 38c | 132.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Real Betis Balompié | 72c | 114$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Getafe CF | 13c | 103.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Real Betis Balompié | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Getafe CF | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Getafe CF | 13c | 77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Real Betis Balompié | 35c | 70.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Real Betis Balompié | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Real Betis Balompié | 39c | 51.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Real Betis Balompié | 39c | 49.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 29c | 47.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Real Betis Balompié | 41c | 42.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…e309backed Real Betis Balompié | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked Getafe CF | 61c | 25.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Getafe CF | 76c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Getafe CF | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Getafe CF | 63c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)this page
- Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.