Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176d8fa75c0af7bc6eeed384a687be6c513b83f2312390fd7ef34e527b2d2d99

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Zverevof Zverev, Berrettini
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,028 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6b90…2194backed Berrettini	43c	6,984$3,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,035.05	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Zverev	61c	3,280$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.2	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Zverev	56c	2,280$1,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.24	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Zverev	61c	2,055$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.83	1,267	56.6%717 W · 550 L	-18.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Berrettini	39c	1,832$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.09	4,076	39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L	+93.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Berrettini	39c	1,816$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.24	1,028	33.6%345 W · 683 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Berrettini	42c	1,333$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.26	242	29.8%72 W · 170 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev	56c	930$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.59	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Berrettini	39c	738.5$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.36	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Zverev	57c	707.89$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.39	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Zverev	56c	700$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Zverev	57c	526.89$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.89	656	51.8%340 W · 316 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Zverev	57c	425$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.75	317	53.6%170 W · 147 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Zverev	57c	400$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172	145	36.6%53 W · 92 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Zverev	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	591	65.3%386 W · 205 L	-16.9wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Zverev	62c	323.35$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.35	217	58.1%126 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Berrettini	42c	315.98$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.57	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Zverev	57c	315.18$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.53	415	44.3%184 W · 231 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Berrettini	32c	308.4$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.15	1,379	16.4%226 W · 1,153 L	-108.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Berrettini	44c	300$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-7.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Berrettini	45c	270.15$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.52	328	42.7%140 W · 188 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Berrettini	39c	256$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Berrettini	43c	212.38$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.32	350	40.9%143 W · 207 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Zverev	74c	202.27$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.32	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Zverev	57c	200$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	476	39.1%186 W · 290 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Zverev	58c	194.25$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.54	127	55.9%71 W · 56 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Zverev	57c	175$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.25	600	55.7%334 W · 266 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Zverev	61c	164.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.18	389	51.9%202 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb12…f8f5backed Berrettini	39c	132.95$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Berrettini	39c	115.38$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Zverev	55c	110.04$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.52	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Berrettini	45c	104.78$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.01	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb1…e0cbbacked Zverev	57c	100.65$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.28	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Zverev	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Zverev	54c	96.3$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.3	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Berrettini	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,418	51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L	+10.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Zverev	57c	90$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Berrettini	31c	88.1$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	4,765	47%2,238 W · 2,527 L	-82.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zverev	57c	88.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.82	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Berrettini	33c	75.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Zverev	62c	74.66$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.66	300	53.3%160 W · 140 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Berrettini	43c	57.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	191	42.4%81 W · 110 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Zverev	61c	55.74$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.74	328	37.5%123 W · 205 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Zverev	57c	55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a49…4292backed Berrettini	43c	54.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Berrettini	39c	49.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Zverev	57c	37.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.05	619	53.3%330 W · 289 L	+18.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Berrettini	44c	32.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Zverev	61c	32.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.61	108	63.9%69 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cea…4ad1backed Berrettini	45c	27.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5e…d655backed Berrettini	45c	27.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ace…0f16backed Zverev	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Zverev	64c	22.89$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.24	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88c…f67dbacked Berrettini	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Zverev	54c	19.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)this page
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Matteo Berrettini vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event