Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c3d74e8c4afb48bf86cc1ec7b348acf6d8d402d1deb63b631856abcf4f8485b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 67c | 1,234$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 23c | 1,100$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 66c | 897.91$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 774.93$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.05 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 762.73$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.28 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 760.57$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.89 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 29c | 725.17$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 654.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.43 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 332.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 74c | 280$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 31c | 241.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 230$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 68c | 196.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…29d4backed Yes | 39c | 187.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 37c | 184$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 180.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked No | 77c | 180.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 35c | 146.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 27c | 145.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 33c | 100.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 78c | 95.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 89.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 52c | 87.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 73c | 81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 73c | 77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Yes | 77c | 74.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…48d9backed Yes | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…a13ebacked Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 50.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 32c | 50.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…14c0backed Yes | 29c | 47.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed Yes | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes | 57c | 44.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Yes | 57c | 44.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…5446backed Yes | 46c | 43.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 70c | 42.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 36.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Yes | 79c | 35.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Yes | 48c | 23.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed Yes | 55c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 68c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…92fdbacked Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-02?No won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.