Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ba1cafaf4fc368306f812c360c33018cf444f6f6af2fe9122f67bfb764143b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked No | 59c | 2,725$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 1,868$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.51 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 1,124$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.93 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 23c | 984.34$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 65c | 977.98$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 675.45$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 51c | 589.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 545.59$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 475.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 447.41$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 48c | 417.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Yes | 48c | 415$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 51c | 377.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 54c | 373.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 279.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 36c | 276.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 52c | 270$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 45c | 267$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 50c | 266$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 53c | 247$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 53c | 225$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed No | 19c | 224.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 39c | 205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 50c | 199.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 180.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 53c | 180$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes | 56c | 179.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 23c | 169.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked No | 60c | 156$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 51c | 139.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 137.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 130.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 55c | 122.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 29c | 122.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 111.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 39c | 110.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 108.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 40c | 101.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 51c | 98.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…8fe5backed Yes | 42c | 95.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…5446backed No | 49c | 91.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 88.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 80c | 86.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 85.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 85.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes | 59c | 84.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 43c | 81.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 52c | 76.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 34c | 75.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 42c | 65.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…b2a2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed No | 57c | 64.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Yes | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…14c0backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 54c | 57.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 51.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 42c | 47.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 43c | 46.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 64c | 37.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Yes | 49c | 32.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…93c2backed Yes | 38c | 32.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 45c | 32.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 40c | 30.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 48c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…1ff6backed Yes | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 53c | 20.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked No | 59c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed No | 66c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.