TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b62…8fe5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Olympics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Will Lou Jeanmonnot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Hanna Oeberg (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$92.57
Will Kokomo Murase (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Camille Rast (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Marcus Kleveland (NOR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Cameron Spalding (CAN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Mark McMorris (CAN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Birk Ruud (NOR) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Sebastian Schjerve (NOR) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Jesper Tjader (SWE) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Mia Brookes (GBR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$181
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.4%+$44.96
Will Henrik Kristoffersen (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Manuel Feller (AUT) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Atle Lie McGrath (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Min-Sun Kim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sweden vs. Slovakia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sander Eitrem (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Davide Ghiotto (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+240.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.7%+$138.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$726.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.