Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd185e30fc89305e98c0a5493688d9e14bf6126537c31993933f69db8887d6497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 23,656$10,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,717.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 52c | 7,679$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.08 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 60c | 5,726$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 72c | 2,772$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 64c | 2,488$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 2,419$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.99 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 76c | 2,374$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.27 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 58c | 2,065$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.52 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 36c | 2,000$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.85 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 1,843$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.27 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 45c | 1,671$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Over | 58c | 1,420$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 45c | 993.78$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.05 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 24c | 926.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 664.12$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 43c | 654.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.07 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 37c | 589.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.22 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 38c | 524.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 483.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.33 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 16c | 477.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 382.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 60c | 369.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over | 43c | 355.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 40c | 345.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 332$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 299.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 286$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 285.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 42c | 239.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…8fe5backed Under | 42c | 238.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 166.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 43c | 166$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 19c | 162.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Under | 62c | 130.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 58c | 127.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 42c | 125.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 40c | 118.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 50c | 115.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 52c | 109.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 47c | 105.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 98.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 51c | 97.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +225.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 84.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 84.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 52c | 81.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 40c | 76.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over | 39c | 74.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…842ebacked Over | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 62c | 64.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 62.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Under | 49c | 56.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 44c | 55.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 38c | 50.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 38c | 50.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 50c | 49.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 50c | 48.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 49c | 41.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Under | 66c | 38.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 69c | 38.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 50c | 37.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 59c | 34.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 60c | 33.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…1bf7backed Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.