Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09bf482a77b86b1ea4cd9dcbe129d1fc7a36a6a5178f9dac0875bd5610575a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9913…21cfbacked Yes | 67c | 10,458$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 5,089$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 5,002$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 34c | 2,140$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.38 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 58c | 1,729$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.18 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 1,718$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.45 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 65c | 1,300$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 1,241$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 65c | 1,090$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 35c | 740.23$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 35c | 713.13$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 19c | 594.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 36c | 370.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Yes | 65c | 307.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 235$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 65c | 200.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 35c | 183$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 140.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 64c | 109.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 17c | 105.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 104.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 21c | 64.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 69c | 55.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e7…dc8fbacked Yes | 63c | 54.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 32c | 53.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…3760backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 41c | 38.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…28cbbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 41c | 28.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 63c | 27.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…6bf0backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc2…e5e6backed Yes | 63c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.