Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a3382f8ff346ba220f33c1783572a014c3623ad855fe9076f0152e3295bfdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 9,733$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 38c | 2,921$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.03 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ae85backed Yes | 53c | 1,844$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Yes | 51c | 1,389$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c45…31c4backed Yes | 62c | 1,177$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 62c | 1,100$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 928.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.71 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 47c | 800$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 39c | 775$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.75 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 35c | 713.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.33 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 65c | 662.9$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.89 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 638.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 630.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.01 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 62c | 499.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.94 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 54c | 364.4$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…03b8backed Yes | 66c | 358.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 62c | 343.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.13 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 63c | 325.75$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 36c | 296.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 246.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 63c | 236.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 37c | 229$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 62c | 185.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…7c2ebacked Yes | 61c | 136.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed No | 47c | 117.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…b34bbacked Yes | 65c | 99.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 68c | 91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 62c | 90.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 45c | 89.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 45c | 89.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 34c | 88.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 66c | 82.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 74.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 62c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…8fe5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 38c | 66.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 45.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 45c | 44.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 60c | 41.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 64c | 41.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 67c | 31.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 60c | 30.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes | 65c | 27.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…1cc6backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 65c | 15.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.