Premier League · resolved market
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b1a9e7c9c8efac3a9fbdc0830900d8531921d361bc23a1780be33081f3924a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 1,221$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 944.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 23c | 875.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 77c | 833.46$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 18c | 805.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed No | 79c | 253$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 125.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 72c | 59.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…4ce7backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 49.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 77c | 49.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 79c | 39.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 13.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.