La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc5026790588daab3b2a7946d0eee70f7f2503cdbc790b453d99a08548589a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 7,470$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Yes | 47c | 4,631$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,566$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.81 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 3,356$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.25 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,824$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 2,646$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 1,574$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 23c | 1,411$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.58 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 1,153$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.18 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 36c | 561.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 553.65$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 500$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.87 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 482.12$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 16c | 350.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.31 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 347.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 16c | 313.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 312.59$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.16 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 264.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 248.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 55c | 221.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 42c | 198.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 56c | 193.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 76c | 157.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 107.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 41c | 88.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 85.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 78.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 26c | 76.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…c7b0backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 47.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 44c | 47.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…31bbbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +73%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Yes | 41c | 27.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 68c | 26.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 57c | 26.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 45c | 25.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 69c | 23.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.