La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0383e08df0ca156363b93ee59e72f1f1af62ac4852b81ead66ddf4b39974ad54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,828$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.03 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 2,641$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.96 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 1,435$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.21 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 29c | 994.66$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.75 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 18c | 831$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 53c | 541$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 48c | 494.33$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 401.4$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 18c | 302$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked No | 62c | 285$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 201.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Yes | 19c | 106.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 93.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 18c | 81.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 80.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +73%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 37c | 36.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…b7f6backed No | 48c | 23.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?No won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.