La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9d67a85948bb1ceecad2c09e91746dfc9a95862029b2e8a343ec83e1007e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,760$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,998$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 1,290$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.56 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,124$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 74c | 912.2$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 719.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 705.32$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.02 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 65c | 490.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 342$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 32c | 219.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 43c | 200.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Yes | 69c | 182.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 76c | 129$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 122.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 118$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 30c | 116.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 27c | 100.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 67c | 64.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 74c | 64.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…c7b0backed Yes | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 33c | 55.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 53.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 48.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Yes | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…bfb7backed Yes | 76c | 20.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.