Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dfc956b15880f7f85cd14dc7e474f6b6efea39a7fec2bae5654f16a3d3a7496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Wigan Athletic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Arsenal FC | 65c | 6,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.6 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wigan Athletic FC | 35c | 5,991$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.99 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wigan Athletic FC | 36c | 4,469$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.61 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 63c | 3,252$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.94 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.94 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wigan Athletic FC | 34c | 1,492$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.13 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Wigan Athletic FC | 31c | 1,072$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.75 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Wigan Athletic FC | 42c | 1,064$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arsenal FC | 65c | 866.97$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Arsenal FC | 64c | 814$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Arsenal FC | 58c | 513.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Arsenal FC | 65c | 389.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Arsenal FC | 64c | 333$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Wigan Athletic FC | 36c | 327.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wigan Athletic FC | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Arsenal FC | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Arsenal FC | 66c | 183.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wigan Athletic FC | 36c | 180.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Arsenal FC | 61c | 164.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Arsenal FC | 63c | 163.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Arsenal FC | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wigan Athletic FC | 36c | 152.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Wigan Athletic FC | 37c | 148$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Wigan Athletic FC | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wigan Athletic FC | 29c | 129.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Wigan Athletic FC | 40c | 125.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Arsenal FC | 65c | 114$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Wigan Athletic FC | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wigan Athletic FC | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Arsenal FC | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Arsenal FC | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Arsenal FC | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wigan Athletic FC | 34c | 84.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Arsenal FC | 58c | 80.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Arsenal FC | 65c | 72.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Arsenal FC | 55c | 65.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wigan Athletic FC | 30c | 62.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 59.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…217cbacked Arsenal FC | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arsenal FC | 60c | 53.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Arsenal FC | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Arsenal FC | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wigan Athletic FC | 40c | 47.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Arsenal FC | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Arsenal FC | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…9ac4backed Arsenal FC | 67c | 37.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Arsenal FC | 63c | 36.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wigan Athletic FC | 34c | 34.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Arsenal FC | 74c | 33.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…18b0backed Arsenal FC | 61c | 32.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Arsenal FC | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Arsenal FC | 65c | 27.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Arsenal FC | 65c | 26.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Arsenal FC | 63c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…3742backed Arsenal FC | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Arsenal FC | 66c | 19.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Arsenal FC | 63c | 18.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.