Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c2ea75ca70cc42652fe2f81de651bb3753ccb8a28b549a0cfd0c92dcf0575e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 4c | 73,760$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.77 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 59c | 3,375$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.95 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 62c | 2,742$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.94 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Under | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 58c | 1,294$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 799.29$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 59c | 562.34$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.56 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 40c | 551.13$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 41c | 511.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over | 59c | 476.93$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 60c | 347$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 13c | 334.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over | 62c | 314.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 291.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…72f1backed Over | 61c | 202.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 158.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 41c | 157.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 53c | 146.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 40c | 123.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 59c | 120.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…ece0backed Over | 62c | 114.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Over | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Over | 61c | 90.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 82.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 78.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…d79fbacked Over | 59c | 65.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 46.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…93cbbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…6e8bbacked Over | 59c | 37.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 41c | 34.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7f…0b43backed Over | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 58c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 37c | 27.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 41c | 27.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Under | 40c | 25.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -85%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 59c | 23.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Over | 57c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 63c | 19.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.