Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1359c2baa91aaf10a4bb1a1f252640f004c550159f25d3fb1ad157b7cb6eea0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed No | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.47 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,263$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.31 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 36c | 1,407$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 65c | 1,237$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.03 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 988.32$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Yes | 33c | 757.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked No | 67c | 756.71$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 687$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 40c | 442.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 34c | 320.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 19c | 239.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…f8fdbacked No | 69c | 179.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Yes | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…a818backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 34c | 129.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 38c | 106.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 79c | 97.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed No | 67c | 89.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 84.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Yes | 27c | 73.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Yes | 28c | 70.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 19c | 57.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 71c | 54.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a04bbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +409.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed No | 76c | 46.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…89e2backed No | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…ce97backed No | 64c | 31.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 75c | 29.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…c582backed Yes | 34c | 29.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.