TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Phoenix: Emilio Nava vs Michael Mmoh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michael Mmohof Emilio Nava, Michael Mmoh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,026 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b96…b053backed Emilio Nava48c7,852$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,740.4622553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Michael Mmoh67c4,666$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Emilio Nava24c4,576$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.242,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michael Mmoh51c3,622$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.398,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Emilio Nava45c2,494$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.144369.8%30 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Emilio Nava58c2,023$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.391,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michael Mmoh51c1,554$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.433,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Emilio Nava21c1,367$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.162,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Emilio Nava8c1,251$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Michael Mmoh53c1,060$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.081,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Emilio Nava28c1,019$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1671725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Michael Mmoh64c978.39$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.112,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Michael Mmoh47c966.19$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.726254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Emilio Nava24c837.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Emilio Nava23c786.12$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Michael Mmoh44c708.79$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.926,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Michael Mmoh34c651.89$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2535040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Michael Mmoh37c637.06$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1535032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Emilio Nava30c604.93$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4851933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Emilio Nava19c562.28$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.96637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Michael Mmoh71c535$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6564065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Emilio Nava19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Emilio Nava32c471.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.741,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Emilio Nava45c469.73$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.994,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Emilio Nava32c446.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Emilio Nava37c405.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Michael Mmoh38c334.28$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2531753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Michael Mmoh35c327.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7522747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Emilio Nava37c287.84$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.530744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Michael Mmoh80c250.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7427566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Michael Mmoh36c241.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5620043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Emilio Nava36c229.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.266,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Emilio Nava45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Emilio Nava27c220.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked Michael Mmoh39c202.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.422339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Michael Mmoh76c201.49$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.282,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Emilio Nava33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Emilio Nava62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Emilio Nava63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Emilio Nava24c157.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.212032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Mmoh65c151.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.69,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Emilio Nava65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Michael Mmoh38c145.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2719338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Michael Mmoh69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.939359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Emilio Nava21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Michael Mmoh45c131.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.92,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Michael Mmoh73c119.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.981,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Mmoh48c119.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.956,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Michael Mmoh42c114.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1716046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Michael Mmoh34c100.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.432842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Emilio Nava62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Emilio Nava32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Emilio Nava25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Michael Mmoh66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Emilio Nava10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10575.3%3 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Emilio Nava66c99.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Emilio Nava63c94.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4341272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Emilio Nava64c90.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Michael Mmoh41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3753058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Michael Mmoh36c83.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5168951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Michael Mmoh35c82.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2454434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Michael Mmoh71c79.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3661953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Emilio Nava22c76.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.658231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Michael Mmoh71c72.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2243058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Michael Mmoh31c67.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Emilio Nava36c66.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.051,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Michael Mmoh63c66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1143951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Michael Mmoh78c64.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.875379.2%42 W · 11 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Michael Mmoh75c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7524244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Michael Mmoh34c58.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9429244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Emilio Nava34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Emilio Nava59c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2289364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Emilio Nava65c57.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8738147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Michael Mmoh71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3428764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Emilio Nava38c54.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8858048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Emilio Nava31c53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.431,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Michael Mmoh38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8677047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa41f…6100backed Michael Mmoh35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.511234.8%39 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Michael Mmoh32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Michael Mmoh48c49.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8331941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Emilio Nava32c48.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.833,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Emilio Nava40c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3913456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Michael Mmoh35c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3918233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Michael Mmoh58c41.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3833163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Michael Mmoh66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Michael Mmoh37c39.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.171,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Michael Mmoh65c38.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6165264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Michael Mmoh37c37.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.547856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Michael Mmoh61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Michael Mmoh71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2158067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8614…717abacked Emilio Nava32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Emilio Nava66c31.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4742358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Michael Mmoh67c30.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.077041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Michael Mmoh63c28.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5410363.1%65 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Michael Mmoh47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.151,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Michael Mmoh72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9247649.6%236 W · 240 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f5…8335backed Michael Mmoh63c23.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Emilio Nava61c20.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7315353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8161…e08ebacked Emilio Nava63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.614553.1%77 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Emilio Nava62c18.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6516175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.