Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6763b8708d0c029b86c77e6fb77974498804fe773e86e8b42844e6c07b2335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anadolu Efesof FC Bayern Munchen, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,094 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 18,076$11,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,147 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 10,390$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Anadolu Efes | 37c | 4,436$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.18 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed FC Bayern Munchen | 77c | 2,525$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.88 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 1,526$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada7…8dbcbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 1,076$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 22c | 1,002$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.56 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 864.23$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.54 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 715.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Anadolu Efes | 24c | 662.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.69 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Anadolu Efes | 23c | 650.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.3 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Anadolu Efes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 479$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Anadolu Efes | 34c | 442.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 434.54$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 424.21$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 325.43$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 324.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Anadolu Efes | 22c | 294.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Anadolu Efes | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Anadolu Efes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Anadolu Efes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anadolu Efes | 23c | 224.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 76c | 177.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Anadolu Efes | 19c | 172.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed FC Bayern Munchen | 79c | 163.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 76c | 149.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Bayern Munchen | 78c | 146.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 74c | 134.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anadolu Efes | 23c | 129.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anadolu Efes | 45c | 116.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…5a0cbacked Anadolu Efes | 43c | 100.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…62ebbacked Anadolu Efes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 92.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Anadolu Efes | 22c | 91.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 89.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 86.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Anadolu Efes | 39c | 79.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anadolu Efes | 39c | 76.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Anadolu Efes | 37c | 68.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 78c | 63.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 58.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Anadolu Efes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 52.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 52.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 50.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Anadolu Efes | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 43.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 42.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 41.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…5507backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 39.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 38.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 36c | 33.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Anadolu Efes | 39c | 30.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc8…a6c1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 28.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Anadolu Efes | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…b680backed Anadolu Efes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed FC Bayern Munchen | 75c | 19.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 15.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.