Tennis · resolved market
Cap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Valentin Royer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f41109aa9930c8c69c9e741dd759b73e7a7133081fff2a4bfc2f012d2101ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mariano Navoneof Mariano Navone, Valentin Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,276 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mariano Navone | 75c | 2,948$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valentin Royer | 10c | 1,885$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Valentin Royer | 53c | 1,843$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.69 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Valentin Royer | 9c | 1,607$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariano Navone | 66c | 1,472$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 1,439$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…4a2dbacked Valentin Royer | 51c | 1,379$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mariano Navone | 79c | 1,133$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.21 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valentin Royer | 20c | 1,122$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariano Navone | 54c | 1,114$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Valentin Royer | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mariano Navone | 42c | 960.64$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.13 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariano Navone | 76c | 915.36$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Valentin Royer | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Mariano Navone | 45c | 718.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.14 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Valentin Royer | 22c | 611.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Valentin Royer | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mariano Navone | 44c | 586.01$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.16 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Valentin Royer | 9c | 563.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…623bbacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 549.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Valentin Royer | 28c | 537.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Valentin Royer | 23c | 452.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mariano Navone | 41c | 412.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.3 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Valentin Royer | 58c | 398$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.84 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mariano Navone | 42c | 384.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Valentin Royer | 28c | 361.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Valentin Royer | 29c | 345.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 342.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Valentin Royer | 13c | 309.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mariano Navone | 43c | 309$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Valentin Royer | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…7db1backed Mariano Navone | 42c | 239.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mariano Navone | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valentin Royer | 42c | 233.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Valentin Royer | 29c | 223.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Valentin Royer | 49c | 212.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Valentin Royer | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Valentin Royer | 27c | 192.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Valentin Royer | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…63a0backed Valentin Royer | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Valentin Royer | 31c | 144.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…e61dbacked Valentin Royer | 60c | 125.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Valentin Royer | 13c | 125.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Mariano Navone | 66c | 124.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mariano Navone | 50c | 115.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 110.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Mariano Navone | 46c | 107.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mariano Navone | 63c | 107.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Mariano Navone | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Mariano Navone | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mariano Navone | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Valentin Royer | 24c | 96.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Valentin Royer | 42c | 95.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Valentin Royer | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Valentin Royer | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Mariano Navone | 42c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Valentin Royer | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mariano Navone | 76c | 80.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 79.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Valentin Royer | 23c | 79.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mariano Navone | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Valentin Royer | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Valentin Royer | 16c | 78.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Valentin Royer | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbb…4f62backed Valentin Royer | 30c | 66.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mariano Navone | 67c | 60.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…5a0cbacked Mariano Navone | 69c | 57.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Valentin Royer | 24c | 55.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Valentin Royer | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Valentin Royer | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…33ddbacked Valentin Royer | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Mariano Navone | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Mariano Navone | 78c | 49.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mariano Navone | 75c | 49.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Mariano Navone | 70c | 48.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Valentin Royer | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Mariano Navone | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Mariano Navone | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Mariano Navone | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mariano Navone | 68c | 43.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Valentin Royer | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Valentin Royer | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Mariano Navone | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Mariano Navone | 62c | 32.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mariano Navone | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Mariano Navone | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Mariano Navone | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Valentin Royer | 37c | 29.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mariano Navone | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Mariano Navone | 73c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Mariano Navone | 42c | 26.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Mariano Navone | 43c | 25.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked Valentin Royer | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariano Navone | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Mariano Navone | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Valentin Royerthis page
- Navone vs. Royer: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.