TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF América win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,648 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No62c68,577$42,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,350.7818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes39c32,680$12,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,609.988530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c17,857$6,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360.611,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes38c14,629$5,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,628.2249449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes39c8,731$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.088321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c5,717$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.375,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cca…6f28backed Yes31c4,445$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c4,413$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.198,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes38c1,555$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.3610922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,115$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.142,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c1,034$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6137851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c975.27$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.751,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes33c948$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.588953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c829.04$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.053,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.453141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c679.02$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.291,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes36c631$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.417542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked No67c630$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes41c560$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.66543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No64c534.4$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…695abacked Yes24c486.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b1…1f26backed Yes12c471.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes42c373$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.661,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c294.15$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c280.63$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.373,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes25c259$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.811,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c247$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.751,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes22c240.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c1d…2ec5backed Yes42c235.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No59c208.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3328443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes24c199.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.821020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked No61c189.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes30c176.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.14452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed No60c173.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.871050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes41c144$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes39c128.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes24c118.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes39c117.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5520953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes38c104.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.871,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes42c97.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes39c93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.273138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes39c92.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed No72c83.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.325052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…484fbacked Yes42c81.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c77.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0809…c4c2backed Yes21c73.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No67c73.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5410550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes39c68.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.444339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Yes27c66.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes24c66.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.981,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No68c61.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes42c61.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.891,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No63c60.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5121345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes39c59.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234139%16 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes28c59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4732936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed No60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes39c49.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No63c46.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.368248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No65c46.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.084353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes31c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No80c41.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Yes39c38.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No76c37.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.29657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Yes41c36.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed No62c33.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.67560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked No60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No74c31.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.044566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bd…af6ebacked No62c30.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No62c29.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.272560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked No69c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.092050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked No68c28.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+78.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c26.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked No58c23.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d1c…0e0cbacked No65c23.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed No67c17.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed No67c16.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.391392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.37per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.