South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x741aff6d4f7dec0a65c823141d5d67c6585db64f23e73c2747e1aba90867bff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,214 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 28,702$18,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.08 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 45c | 13,209$5,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 48c | 5,709$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 4,649$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.74 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 2,356$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.87 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,334$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 1,012$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.79 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 516.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 473.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 450.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 434.27$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 335.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 308$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 8c | 277.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 27c | 267$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 249.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 73c | 242.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 80c | 209.9$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 74c | 203.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 188.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 177$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 61c | 163.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…8850backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 26c | 142$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 139.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 109.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 46c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 39c | 102.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 99.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 98.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 84.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 35c | 76.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 35c | 67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0124backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Yes | 74c | 55.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 34c | 53.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…6031backed Yes | 32c | 51.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 45.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 29c | 44.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…de99backed Yes | 67c | 43.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 59c | 36.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…6dfcbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 47c | 22.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 73c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…c402backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…83d5backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América end in a draw?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.