South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00bffda6dbd81c3d81fbe1e349c0b6fa2bb0ff9a68bfe67dd338897afdfcb694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,133 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 2,478$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.45 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,003$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 1,113$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.28 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 887.94$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 32c | 782.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 44c | 471.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 321.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.58 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 7c | 271.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…b98ebacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 35c | 238.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 26c | 216.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 31c | 214$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 160.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 51c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2526backed Yes | 77c | 144.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 68c | 116.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 23c | 115.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 38c | 94.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 36c | 88.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 88.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed No | 33c | 79.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 78.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 31c | 77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 69.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 68.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 58.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 27c | 49.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 41c | 45.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 43.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 35.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 34.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 66c | 30.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…754fbacked No | 72c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…54b5backed Yes | 73c | 13.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.