South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352883f562a2b732a6e4d6c27c84e1704120c96d710f0a25ad3268cf0219833f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,361 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,442$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.71 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 26c | 866.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.37 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 17c | 840.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 737.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.28 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 460.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 380.9$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 76c | 330.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 276$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 266.62$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 234$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 194.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 187$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 28c | 184.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 178.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 178$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 128.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 121.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 31c | 116.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 61c | 90.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 20c | 75.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 56.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 53.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 52.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 49.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 47c | 47.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 30.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 30.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 51c | 22.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 54c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 73c | 17.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.