CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa730fd1a1f13e15e790a56485a368e87d861ba665889cca2fa93142cecba5f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof CSDIILIT, Mousquetaires
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,082 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked CSDIILIT | 26c | 700$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.83 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Mousquetaires | 55c | 540.23$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 427.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed CSDIILIT | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mousquetaires | 79c | 382.86$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…b98ebacked CSDIILIT | 12c | 379.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Mousquetaires | 48c | 368.34$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Mousquetaires | 47c | 362.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 344.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mousquetaires | 55c | 279.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 210$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 148.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Mousquetaires | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed CSDIILIT | 58c | 95.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Mousquetaires | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked CSDIILIT | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked CSDIILIT | 42c | 45.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Mousquetaires | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…3780backed Mousquetaires | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Mousquetaires | 64c | 39.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Mousquetaires | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mousquetaires | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires - Map 1 WinnerMousquetaires won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: CSDIILIT (-1.5) vs Mousquetaires (+1.5)Mousquetaires won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.