CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5053a4571e8ea909145eee78e8bde8358e50dbb8986fae9e171c3714b621cb83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof CSDIILIT, Mousquetaires
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,473 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbeab…8bddbacked CSDIILIT | 56c | 2,590$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…1f0ebacked Mousquetaires | 44c | 2,590$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…9bbabacked CSDIILIT | 9c | 2,356$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked CSDIILIT | 31c | 2,024$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.66 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mousquetaires | 69c | 1,955$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…116abacked CSDIILIT | 13c | 1,558$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2de…30c5backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 1,045$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…0621backed Mousquetaires | 69c | 931$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed CSDIILIT | 32c | 908.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CSDIILIT | 31c | 812.41$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d9…842cbacked CSDIILIT | 29c | 792$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…fc47backed CSDIILIT | 31c | 760$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…01efbacked Mousquetaires | 71c | 737$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539f…d114backed CSDIILIT | 31c | 637$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CSDIILIT | 27c | 514.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 443.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…db7ebacked Mousquetaires | 71c | 417$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Mousquetaires | 56c | 400.01$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Mousquetaires | 46c | 384.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…436ebacked Mousquetaires | 71c | 375$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed CSDIILIT | 55c | 360.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10dc…71cbbacked Mousquetaires | 69c | 315$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…1256backed Mousquetaires | 71c | 308$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mousquetaires | 63c | 278.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…b339backed Mousquetaires | 71c | 264$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…3d10backed CSDIILIT | 13c | 258$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…1809backed Mousquetaires | 69c | 242$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed CSDIILIT | 62c | 221.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…58b5backed CSDIILIT | 30c | 218$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Mousquetaires | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mousquetaires | 45c | 189.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…177dbacked CSDIILIT | 58c | 168.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 147.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Mousquetaires | 68c | 146.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 132.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Mousquetaires | 38c | 130.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…f113backed Mousquetaires | 69c | 126$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mousquetaires | 13c | 103.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…68fabacked Mousquetaires | 65c | 102.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CSDIILIT | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mousquetaires | 44c | 96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…cdf9backed Mousquetaires | 80c | 87.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Mousquetaires | 70c | 87.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked CSDIILIT | 13c | 86.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CSDIILIT | 18c | 73.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Mousquetaires | 44c | 71.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Mousquetaires | 33c | 69.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked CSDIILIT | 54c | 65.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…849abacked CSDIILIT | 54c | 59.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Mousquetaires | 42c | 57.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…fd11backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 56.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Mousquetaires | 68c | 53.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked CSDIILIT | 34c | 51.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…9874backed Mousquetaires | 80c | 50.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…8fe3backed CSDIILIT | 62c | 48.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mousquetaires | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mousquetaires | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Mousquetaires | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…4432backed Mousquetaires | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mousquetaires | 67c | 33.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe007…0620backed Mousquetaires | 74c | 33.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…ae91backed Mousquetaires | 31c | 31.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Mousquetaires | 69c | 25.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Mousquetaires | 45c | 25.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…3b56backed Mousquetaires | 46c | 23.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Mousquetaires | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…fffbbacked Mousquetaires | 47c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Mousquetaires | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Mousquetaires | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…0283backed CSDIILIT | 77c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked CSDIILIT | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires - Map 1 WinnerMousquetaires won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires - Map 2 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: CSDIILIT (-1.5) vs Mousquetaires (+1.5)Mousquetaires won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.