CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cea48ae918b51eedf285911f1ae62f94c4a3ca11e1e7d073fac87d294c654f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof ASTRAL, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,441 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ASTRAL | 44c | 4,124$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.62 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Phantom | 56c | 2,753$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.7 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 2,154$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.76 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ASTRAL | 44c | 1,603$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.02 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Phantom | 55c | 1,427$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.63 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Phantom | 53c | 1,422$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.52 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…6af3backed ASTRAL | 37c | 1,293$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 45c | 1,202$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Phantom | 55c | 1,140$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Phantom | 56c | 1,121$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.49 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Phantom | 55c | 1,096$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 70c | 1,070$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 1,059$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 825.5$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Phantom | 55c | 707.92$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.08 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Phantom | 56c | 681.12$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ASTRAL | 46c | 659.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.42 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…4b0bbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 610$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Phantom | 52c | 588.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.71 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed Phantom | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed ASTRAL | 44c | 490$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed Phantom | 55c | 490$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…8c4bbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 45c | 412$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb030…e89ebacked Phantom | 55c | 362$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ASTRAL | 46c | 351.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Phantom | 56c | 326.64$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.72 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Phantom | 79c | 322.29$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Phantom | 55c | 310$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Phantom | 56c | 309.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ASTRAL | 45c | 300.46$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Phantom | 55c | 267.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked Phantom | 56c | 249.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…f43cbacked Phantom | 55c | 248$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce6…929dbacked Phantom | 54c | 224$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Phantom | 77c | 220.46$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…c57fbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…edcebacked Phantom | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed ASTRAL | 39c | 206.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Phantom | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed ASTRAL | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed ASTRAL | 16c | 192.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Phantom | 54c | 184.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Phantom | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Phantom | 56c | 179.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed Phantom | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Phantom | 56c | 178.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…4f1dbacked Phantom | 67c | 172.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed ASTRAL | 46c | 161.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed ASTRAL | 44c | 152.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Phantom | 55c | 150.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Phantom | 54c | 135.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Phantom | 52c | 129.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Phantom | 55c | 112.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 110.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed ASTRAL | 18c | 108.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ASTRAL | 20c | 107$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked ASTRAL | 48c | 104.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked ASTRAL | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ASTRAL | 42c | 99.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed ASTRAL | 37c | 94.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 46c | 94.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL | 41c | 82.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 77c | 80.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ASTRAL | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Phantom | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…aa18backed ASTRAL | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ASTRAL | 23c | 67.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed ASTRAL | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed ASTRAL | 47c | 57.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed ASTRAL | 20c | 56.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Phantom | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Phantom | 68c | 54.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Phantom | 77c | 52.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ASTRAL | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom | 57c | 46.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed ASTRAL | 46c | 44.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Phantom | 58c | 43.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 42.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…f70cbacked ASTRAL | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Phantom | 58c | 41.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed ASTRAL | 45c | 40.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Phantom | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed ASTRAL | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Phantom | 55c | 32.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked ASTRAL | 45c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Phantom | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Phantom | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed ASTRAL | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Phantom | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 53c | 28.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Phantom | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed ASTRAL | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked ASTRAL | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Phantom | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Phantom | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Phantom | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Phantom | 55c | 21.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.