TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leo Teamof ASTRAL, Leo Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,593 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb04b…e2d4backed ASTRAL39c6,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.8912752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team61c5,041$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.767,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Leo Team66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.2584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed ASTRAL34c2,730$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.0511637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL34c2,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team67c2,176$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.7784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed ASTRAL19c2,007$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.65543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ASTRAL33c1,750$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.163,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Leo Team60c1,409$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.376038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed ASTRAL32c1,257$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.4715141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked ASTRAL40c1,077$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.8875056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leo Team67c1,024$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.871,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Leo Team53c940.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.3727452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team64c934.89$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.746,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed ASTRAL32c875$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28017847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed ASTRAL37c850.36$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8316935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Leo Team73c822.71$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.712433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Leo Team71c799.99$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.152470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Leo Team59c798.99$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.794221.4%9 W · 33 L-10.0wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Leo Team50c697.24$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fa…1ceabacked Leo Team60c670.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team73c617.31$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.952,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf76…db81backed Leo Team60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed ASTRAL39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed ASTRAL25c599.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed ASTRAL32c568.88$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2446243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team68c559.76$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.524,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ASTRAL48c554.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.436253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked ASTRAL34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed ASTRAL47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL36c498$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.835,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed ASTRAL38c480$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.43458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed Leo Team61c480$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.23040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Leo Team62c397.45$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.51,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed ASTRAL31c390$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Leo Team67c319$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3211651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed ASTRAL32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed ASTRAL47c311.29$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.93837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Leo Team52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14439245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked ASTRAL28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.611344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ASTRAL14c299.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.942,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked ASTRAL31c290.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed ASTRAL36c281.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked ASTRAL18c275.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9524…58f0backed ASTRAL22c266.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.781442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked Leo Team65c264.14$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.614971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Leo Team70c258.06$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0664854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Leo Team68c257.66$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0233352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL33c256.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.834,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed ASTRAL43c229.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Leo Team63c229.74$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.378146.9%38 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc141…ef2fbacked ASTRAL14c227.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed Leo Team67c212.14$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9512946.5%60 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed ASTRAL45c201.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leo Team60c188.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.231,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked ASTRAL56c180.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed ASTRAL23c169.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3835033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Leo Team61c167.21$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2138456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Leo Team68c165.47$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9561154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf75b…b40dbacked Leo Team68c147.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.89757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked Leo Team57c146.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7815638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked ASTRAL14c145.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.614853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43a…5cf4backed Leo Team69c144.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed ASTRAL40c144.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0810651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Leo Team60c130.64$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7195849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Leo Team68c122.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7545639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Leo Team78c122.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3632662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7d…2281backed ASTRAL42c118.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.441741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Leo Team59c115.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3938131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked ASTRAL35c111.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.119845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ASTRAL32c105.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.812,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x60fd…d815backed ASTRAL29c103.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Leo Team59c102.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0337445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked ASTRAL41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed ASTRAL32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Leo Team61c98.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9614853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked ASTRAL37c94.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.910949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked ASTRAL40c89.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.334940.8%20 W · 29 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade6…a890backed Leo Team56c89.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+54.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Leo Team60c88.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5551755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb6…ba42backed Leo Team70c87.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked ASTRAL43c87.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6318751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Leo Team36c85.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8715648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…e34bbacked ASTRAL48c84.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Leo Team68c81.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9152755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed ASTRAL37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30147.1%1 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.38per pick46cpaid-81.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc255…68f8backed Leo Team62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Leo Team51c80.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.371951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed ASTRAL31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.839237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Leo Team62c77.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed ASTRAL44c76.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.724753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL32c76.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2570038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Leo Team65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.254748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Leo Team59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.76764.2%43 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked ASTRAL43c69.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Leo Team72c68.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9914439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ASTRAL32c68.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Leo Team79c68.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Leo Team67c67.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4959354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Leo Team74c67.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.158647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.