CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee0d068ddef54d3448e4e91950cd4127a4a077eb58c51bed79d09302ba15f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof ASTRAL, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed ASTRAL | 8c | 6,115$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 50c | 682.79$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 66c | 654.81$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked Leo Team | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked ASTRAL | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…daf2backed ASTRAL | 20c | 153.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…f744backed ASTRAL | 17c | 140.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Leo Team | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Leo Team | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team | 45c | 121.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ASTRAL | 52c | 94.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed ASTRAL | 41c | 62.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed ASTRAL | 57c | 47.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Leo Team | 41c | 40.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.