CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39424bd49c8a46c3d625e94a0e44553f92cb005c30bfb9bb3b55b0d4671522eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,557 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Players | 28c | 2,311$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.79 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Keyd | 71c | 1,554$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.76 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…6b67backed Players | 28c | 1,456$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…fcc1backed Keyd | 72c | 1,049$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Keyd | 72c | 985.45$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.83 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…4a95backed Players | 27c | 983$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…4bffbacked Players | 26c | 699$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350a…6b14backed Players | 26c | 661$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Players | 28c | 655.87$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268a…0a60backed Players | 28c | 644.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Players | 28c | 613.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.92 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…7a3ebacked Players | 27c | 580$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…6767backed Keyd | 73c | 570$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…90c1backed Players | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…a682backed Players | 27c | 544$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…14a4backed Players | 27c | 530$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 79c | 460.08$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…ebbfbacked Keyd | 74c | 413$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…ff55backed Keyd | 72c | 407$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d11ebacked Players | 27c | 405$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…4b0bbacked Keyd | 72c | 401.05$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…e843backed Keyd | 74c | 390$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…126bbacked Players | 26c | 379$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Keyd | 72c | 325.88$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7af9backed Keyd | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Keyd | 73c | 295$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafa1…d609backed Keyd | 74c | 284$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…c719backed Keyd | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…2bd8backed Keyd | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…636ebacked Keyd | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…9fc1backed Keyd | 73c | 275$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…1e00backed Keyd | 73c | 275$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…372bbacked Keyd | 73c | 275$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…4aa9backed Keyd | 74c | 271$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf38…d753backed Keyd | 74c | 269$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…88febacked Keyd | 74c | 266$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…9427backed Keyd | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Players | 18c | 249.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…e51fbacked Keyd | 72c | 237$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Keyd | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…ea69backed Keyd | 74c | 189$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Players | 28c | 178.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keyd | 72c | 175$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Players | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Players | 37c | 168$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keyd | 72c | 164.69$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…2ddcbacked Keyd | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Players | 15c | 141.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7ea5backed Keyd | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Players | 8c | 128.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Players | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Players | 22c | 114.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Players | 23c | 100.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Keyd | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…17bbbacked Players | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Keyd | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…7b28backed Keyd | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…1ea0backed Keyd | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb8…f083backed Keyd | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Keyd | 72c | 94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…6a7abacked Keyd | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed Keyd | 74c | 67.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Players | 26c | 55.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Keyd | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Keyd | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcf…7e47backed Keyd | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…5456backed Players | 29c | 38.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Keyd | 73c | 37.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Keyd | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd | 74c | 24.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed Keyd | 71c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6d…ff8ebacked Keyd | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Keyd | 79c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Players - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Players - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.