CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs aimclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d1be851fce3561f2476734acaa911a64664fc60b4b2f4bb94b04689322ea41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof CSDIILIT, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed aimclub | 36c | 739.66$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CSDIILIT | 72c | 258.34$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed CSDIILIT | 73c | 248.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed aimclub | 18c | 234.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…b7d7backed aimclub | 50c | 163.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed aimclub | 42c | 114.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked aimclub | 27c | 92.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked CSDIILIT | 80c | 88.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed aimclub | 36c | 72.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…286abacked CSDIILIT | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 52.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed CSDIILIT | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed aimclub | 42c | 46.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked CSDIILIT | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…3b56backed CSDIILIT | 74c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed CSDIILIT | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed CSDIILIT | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CSDIILIT | 57c | 19.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs aimclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner CSDIILIT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.