CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04461907790898ad25e9213e1b5eec62293c165057aeb4b6c3ce3a10fb6e6176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Sangal, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa839…2718backed Sangal | 38c | 10,040$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ursa | 60c | 9,028$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 62c | 3,860$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Ursa | 78c | 3,585$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.7 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ursa | 65c | 3,408$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.49 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…47febacked Sangal | 45c | 3,310$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Sangal | 50c | 1,367$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Sangal | 50c | 1,356$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.21 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Ursa | 73c | 1,146$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Sangal | 47c | 1,022$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.07 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sangal | 35c | 876.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sangal | 31c | 830.63$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sangal | 39c | 751.43$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa | 59c | 709.39$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Sangal | 39c | 689.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.35 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Ursa | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ursa | 61c | 593.73$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.12 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Sangal | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0c3ebacked Ursa | 60c | 507.63$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed Ursa | 73c | 468.7$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sangal | 39c | 455.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sangal | 49c | 415.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ursa | 50c | 409$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Sangal | 33c | 373.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Sangal | 25c | 365$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Sangal | 8c | 341$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked Ursa | 72c | 332.04$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Ursa | 50c | 327$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Ursa | 49c | 309.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Sangal | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed Sangal | 47c | 297$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sangal | 26c | 224.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 44c | 220.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Ursa | 69c | 220.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Ursa | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Sangal | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ursa | 68c | 186.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ursa | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sangal | 15c | 157.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Ursa | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Sangal | 42c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Ursa | 50c | 147.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Ursa | 57c | 145$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Ursa | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sangal | 54c | 134.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ursa | 61c | 130.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ursa | 58c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Sangal | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 60c | 104.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Sangal | 47c | 103.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Ursa | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Sangal | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Sangal | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Sangal | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Sangal | 51c | 90.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Ursa | 50c | 85.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Ursa | 49c | 82.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Sangal | 25c | 81.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sangal | 34c | 79.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Sangal | 51c | 72.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Ursa | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Ursa | 67c | 65.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed Ursa | 66c | 52.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sangal | 42c | 51.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Sangal | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ursa | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Ursa | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Sangal | 51c | 48.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed Ursa | 54c | 47.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab48…612dbacked Ursa | 55c | 46.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sangal | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Ursa | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Ursa | 61c | 40.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ursa | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Ursa | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Ursa | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Ursa | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…6a5abacked Sangal | 49c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…34a7backed Ursa | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…88cfbacked Ursa | 66c | 37.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Ursa | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ursa | 71c | 36.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Ursa | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Ursa | 56c | 35.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Ursa | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Sangal | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ursa | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sangal | 49c | 29.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…c199backed Ursa | 49c | 28.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 66c | 27.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Ursa | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Ursa | 57c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Ursa | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Ursa | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…0137backed Ursa | 61c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Ursa | 63c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Ursa | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.