CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcb99d7f17df2913c9181cb3d256757437ed1b33d0a16312e2da330e11f4427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 29c | 2,148$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga | 66c | 1,968$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.96 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 37c | 1,890$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.3 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nemiga | 56c | 1,402$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.87 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nemiga | 73c | 1,373$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.27 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Nemiga | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed MANA eSports | 56c | 724.84$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.32 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga | 69c | 688.11$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MANA eSports | 39c | 685.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MANA eSports | 26c | 685.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports | 33c | 664$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 31c | 577.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 30c | 577.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga | 49c | 517.76$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 75c | 430.28$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed MANA eSports | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 29c | 367.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MANA eSports | 21c | 358.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Nemiga | 62c | 322.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MANA eSports | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed MANA eSports | 25c | 250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked MANA eSports | 18c | 241$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 73c | 226$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed MANA eSports | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Nemiga | 70c | 168.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nemiga | 69c | 167.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked MANA eSports | 27c | 166.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed Nemiga | 60c | 166.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MANA eSports | 14c | 137.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked MANA eSports | 27c | 136.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MANA eSports | 32c | 134.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 123.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nemiga | 70c | 118.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked MANA eSports | 34c | 115.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MANA eSports | 57c | 112.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MANA eSports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MANA eSports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MANA eSports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed MANA eSports | 30c | 98.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Nemiga | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MANA eSports | 34c | 96.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked MANA eSports | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MANA eSports | 26c | 88.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MANA eSports | 34c | 79.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MANA eSports | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MANA eSports | 32c | 73.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Nemiga | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…16a6backed MANA eSports | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Nemiga | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nemiga | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed MANA eSports | 31c | 56.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nemiga | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Nemiga | 68c | 52.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…1255backed Nemiga | 67c | 50.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nemiga | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MANA eSports | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Nemiga | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed MANA eSports | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…e668backed Nemiga | 67c | 44.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MANA eSports | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MANA eSports | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Nemiga | 76c | 40.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga | 44c | 39.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed MANA eSports | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Nemiga | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Nemiga | 67c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nemiga | 71c | 30.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…98eabacked MANA eSports | 58c | 25.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Nemiga | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.