South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d42ef085ec29365c7f13983a38133ca3c3145941bac88cff222a436dcf48a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 63c | 4,680$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.81 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 68c | 1,417$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.33 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 964.07$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 953.28$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 32c | 484.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 399.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 51c | 338.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.37 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 66c | 280.08$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 269.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 25c | 262.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 52c | 253.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 67c | 231.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 225.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 38c | 150.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 148.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 54c | 135.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 133.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…e309backed Yes | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 51c | 94.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 88.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 88.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 78c | 79.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 79.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 78.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 67c | 76.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 31c | 74.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed No | 39c | 73.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 72.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 28c | 62.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 78c | 61.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 49.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 43c | 42.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 27c | 41.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 48c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 46c | 38.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 43c | 35.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…cd82backed Yes | 60c | 32.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Yes | 64c | 30.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…42b7backed Yes | 73c | 26.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…5f61backed Yes | 63c | 21.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…35dcbacked Yes | 50c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 51c | 20.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 70c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…1c3bbacked No | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.