TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese vs. Torino FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes32c34,984$11,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,789.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c16,364$10,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,951.8993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c14,880$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.512,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No69c10,742$7,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,411.734045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c10,494$5,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.5496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No69c6,760$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,658.032450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c5,267$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.7498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes42c5,264$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.0832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No68c4,433$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.272766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes46c4,207$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.764566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes32c4,197$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.621442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd087…c3adbacked No70c3,788$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+58.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes31c3,578$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.641233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+80.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes32c2,998$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.32254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes43c2,713$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.1641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No68c2,563$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.5211146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No69c1,847$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.4211153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes56c1,739$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.976245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c1,666$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.2841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes72c1,557$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes31c1,526$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.861526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c1,462$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.5849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c1,259$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.3268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes61c1,181$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No66c979.6$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.541560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c934.07$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.0446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes58c924.38$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.241266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes51c786.13$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.662035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c780.57$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.4448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes31c596.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.8914651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…6682backed Yes80c553.09$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No49c449.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4111053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27222551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes32c391.35$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.123847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes49c318.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143e…375bbacked Yes31c290.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.561030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+13.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No59c283.68$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.377160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c266.53$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes35c262.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.582025%5 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c258.24$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5120749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No70c247.46$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.226070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No68c233$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.443366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes26c221.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.424148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes32c216.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.413426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefed…aecdbacked Yes38c215.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No69c196.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.436560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No51c195.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0612044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed No30c193.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c192.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6816819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes31c191.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2927226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes31c182.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.166839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No68c176.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1321058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6f…0c8bbacked Yes56c174.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No65c172.52$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.294339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.425547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes73c153.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes32c149.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9213653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c10…2e23backed Yes32c149.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.92560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No67c147$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.492166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed No70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…1ad5backed No25c136.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No20c135.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.144759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c131.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.911,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No69c130.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.062236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes32c129.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe592…691abacked Yes49c128$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No69c125.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.611963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No53c112.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.115967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes33c105.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9813146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed No47c104.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes37c104.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.533554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c95.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2326747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked No16c94.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No68c93.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.754671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes31c92.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.016358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes67c89.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6432…36febacked Yes32c89.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.151275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf785…7b19backed Yes32c89.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No68c88.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0115050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.415844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes31c77.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.343855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No69c77.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.336267.7%42 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes32c74.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9610358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec2…b015backed Yes31c70.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick30cpaid+141.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed No70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes47c68.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.274647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed No70c67.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.121070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Yes38c67.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes38c66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.953953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.