TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked No68c14,748$10,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.2521058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No67c14,502$9,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,785.538743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes32c9,092$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.4332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c3,909$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No48c3,742$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.822360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b8…933ebacked No67c3,657$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes34c3,477$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.251233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+80.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No68c3,217$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.862646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes32c2,960$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.736048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes32c2,848$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.242040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c2,814$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.662,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes54c2,788$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.4431051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c2,591$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.8698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes71c1,933$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.5422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No67c1,764$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.28666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes33c1,734$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.213638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes34c1,537$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4610940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes25c1,526$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.5412731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c1,496$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes20c1,357$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.594736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c1,276$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c1,256$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.211,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3634860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes33c1,047$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes32c1,031$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0315244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes32c1,031$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0314752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No37c957.32$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.258139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes27c885.37$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes21c790.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes33c768.8$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes29c746.11$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.371643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c662.56$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.964242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes27c531.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c527.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes41c465.12$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No71c440.2$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.666155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes30c423$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.923345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes28c362.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7813445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes53c341.56$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4412044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.862920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Yes32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.921650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes30c298.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4214748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143e…375bbacked Yes33c296.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+13.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No67c288.39$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes70c283.44$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.173537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes14c274$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c252.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2534…0705backed No71c246.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes44c236.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No80c232.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No25c200.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.323240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes44c190.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes24c184.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.061612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes32c181.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.541250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes32c179.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes67c166.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.394852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes62c162.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.121748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes31c160.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.097147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes12c152.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9513826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes65c151.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No67c149.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.510549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes33c149.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3132854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c144.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9818951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd0…b52fbacked No29c144.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.097568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked No70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes32c129.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2415635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes27c129.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.972025%5 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked No29c127.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.835131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No71c125$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6414845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.418253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes41c124.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.023953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes30c122.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.693630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes28c119.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4917744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No49c117.8$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe461…2a69backed Yes13c116.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes18c114.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.274647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes29c99.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes32c99.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9214651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6167…a6cabacked Yes34c98.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.946050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes33c93.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.013450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe43b…235fbacked Yes32c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed Yes32c89.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes71c85.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes32c84.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.011952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes30c83.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c78.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.968644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes18c73.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4626241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.