Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b41c2a338c5837671ee12ac4e3ba04b138010e6849fddd74cd562af7288aed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 27c | 14,137$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,321.42 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 27c | 9,171$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650.07 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 8,970$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.26 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 4,714$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.84 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 61c | 3,095$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.63 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 2,130$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.81 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked No | 73c | 2,059$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 37c | 1,846$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.25 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 37c | 1,839$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.26 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 68c | 1,818$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 73c | 1,679$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.58 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,654$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 1,564$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.58 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 24c | 1,437$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.19 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 24c | 1,423$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.36 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 24c | 1,345$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 57c | 1,272$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.29 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 1,168$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 72c | 1,092$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.56 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 1,091$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.41 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 1,059$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.13 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 77c | 729.18$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.81 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked No | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 682.68$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…4164backed No | 21c | 664.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Yes | 45c | 642.61$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 55c | 605.37$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 25c | 540.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 22c | 456.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked No | 78c | 414.46$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 72c | 405.02$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 76c | 299.57$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 29c | 297.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 73c | 295.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 28c | 294.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 272.49$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.33 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 223.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 32c | 210.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 13c | 193.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 75c | 183.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…c90bbacked Yes | 75c | 171.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…d450backed No | 24c | 169.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 72c | 168.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 75cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 28c | 156.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked No | 72c | 154.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 143$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 142.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 138.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 45c | 130.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 129.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 24c | 125.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes | 80c | 123.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 117.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 80c | 109.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Yes | 24c | 109.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 11c | 106.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 23c | 99.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 56c | 97.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 94.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 56c | 94.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked No | 28c | 84.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 54c | 74.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 73.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 75c | 64.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 29c | 60.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…e20dbacked No | 37c | 59.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 72c | 58.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 58.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed Yes | 23c | 57.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Yes | 27c | 52.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 64c | 50.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 28c | 48.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked No | 72c | 45.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 29c | 42.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 72c | 42.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 45c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 36c | 31.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 79c | 31.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 62c | 29.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes | 68c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…32e8backed Yes | 72c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed No | 73c | 23.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 73c | 23.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.